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Why did Napoleon Invade Russia? TL:DW, he thought he was going to win.

Sources:

A Concise History of France by Roger Price.

LongTerm Bandwagoning and ShortTerm Balancing: The Lessons of Coalition Behaviour from 1792 to 1815 by Daniel J. Whiteneck

Blinders, Blunders, and Wars: What America and China can learn by David C. Gompert, Hans Binnendijk and Bonny Lin