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Trend-Following: Theory Expectations and Reality Special Presentation | Arthur Hill CMT (11.6.21)

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Trendfollowing is a systematic and rulesbased strategy for trading in the direction of the underlying trend. Trendfollowing strategies originated in the commodity markets and benefited from broad diversification. These strategies can also be applied to stocks, however, some adjustments are needed to improve robustness and limit drawdowns. This special edition of Next Level Charting will cover the theory behind trendfollowing, backtest some classic indicators, set realistic expectations and show some techniques to improve performance when focused on stocks.

00:00 Introduction
02:00 A Little About Me
04:16 My Trading Style: Systematic and Discretionary
06:02 Agenda of Presentation
07:07 Key Assumptions and Characteristics
09:14 Trend Following vs. Mean Reversion
11:36 Time Frame Considerations
13:45 Trend Following Indicators and Signals (MA Crossovers, Bollinger Bands, Keltner Channels)
24:49 Expectations vs. Reality (Equity curve based on a system over 20year period)
27:15 Backtesting the Indicators
36:25 Broad Market Timing: Market Regime Matters
44:25 Expectations vs. Reality: Keeping it Real
47:04 Key Takeaways and Next Steps
54:04 Questions: Do you prefer exponential or simple moving averages?

CONNECT WITH ARTHUR
Website: https://trendinvestorpro.com/
Blog: https://stockcharts.com/articles/arth...
  / arthurhill  


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DISCLAIMER
Past performance is not indicative of future results. Neither the Show Participants
nor StockCharts.com guarantee any specific outcome or profit. You should be aware of the real
risk of loss in following any strategy or investment discussed on the show.
Strategies or investments discussed may fluctuate in price or value.

Investments or strategies mentioned in this show may not be suitable for you and
you should make your own independent decision regarding them. This material
does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation
or needs and is not intended as recommendations appropriate for you.

You should strongly consider seeking advice from your own investment advisor

posted by zdanilek