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MINI LECTURE 14 A First Course on Fragility Convexity and Antifragility (Nontechnical).

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N N Talebs Probability Moocs

A first, very introductory presentation of fragility as linked to both nonlinearity and dislike of variations. Antifragility is almost the opposite, limited to a specific range of variations.
Explains:
+ Why everything fragile must be concave.
+ The medical S curve.
+ Why harm to the climate is necessarily nonlinear in dose response.
+ How hospitals can be overcrowded unless there are redundancies.
Futher discussions will be more technical.

posted by ale1te2u